Ontario general election, 2007
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The Ontario general election of 2007 is scheduled to be held on October 4, 2007 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario, Canada. As a result of legislation passed by the Legislature in 2004, election dates are now fixed by formula so that an election is held approximately four years after the previous election, unless the government is defeated by a vote of "no confidence" in the Legislature. Previously, the governing party had considerable flexibility to determine the date of an election within five years of being elected.
The general election will elect Ontario's 39th Legislative Assembly. The leader of the party with the most seats normally becomes the next premier of the province, unless the other two political parties together hold a majority of seats and decide to form a coalition government.
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Opinion polls
Since the 2003 general election, several polls have been conducted to determine the current preference of voters. They show a severe decline in Liberal support following the 2004 Ontario budget.
Note that the majority of dates listed here are dates the polls were released, not conducted.
| Polling Firm | Date | 
| Missing image Pcposmall.png | Missing image Ndposmall.png | Missing image Gposmall.png |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SES Research | June 14, 2004 | 41 | 35 | 21 | 4 |
| Léger Marketing | June 8, 2005 | 42 | 34 | 17 | - |
| Léger Marketing | April 29, 2005 | 36 | 37 | 19 | - |
| Environics | April 11, 2005 | 35 | 41 | 21 | - |
| Léger Marketing | March 17, 2005 | 44 | 33 | 19 | - |
| Environics | December, 2004 | 37 | 39 | 23 | - |
| Environics | October 12, 2004Template:Ref | 35 | 40 | 23 | - |
| Léger Marketing | September, 2004 | 37 | 35 | 19 | - |
| Environics | August 9, 2004 | 35 | 37 | 23 | 4 |
| Ipsos-Reid | June 14, 2004 | 32 | 39 | 23 | 6 |
| SES Research | June 5, 2004 | 34 | 41 | 20 | - |
| Decima | May 27, 2004 | 32 | 29 | 21 | - |
| Environics | May 6, 2004 | 45 | 33 | 20 | 1 |
| Ipsos-Reid | April 19, 2004 | 45 | 30 | 19 | 5 |
| SES Research | January 23, 2004 | 49 | 29 | 10 | - |
| Environics | January 21, 2004 | 50 | 30 | 16 | 3 |
| Ipsos-Reid | December 14, 2003 | 51 | 27 | 16 | 6 |
| Ipsos-Reid | November 8, 2003 | 56 | 27 | 12 | 5 |
| Environics | October 30, 2003 | 49 | 29 | 18 | 2 |
| Last election (October 2, 2004) | 46.4 | 34.6 | 14.7 | 2.8 | |
- Template:NoteDate poll finished being conducted. Released December 11, 2004.
Results by party
| Party | Party Leader | # of candidates | Seats | Popular Vote | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | Current | Elected | % Change | # | % | % Change | Liberal | Dalton McGuinty | 72 | 71 |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Progressive Conservatives/row | Progressive Conservative | John Tory | 24 | 24 | New Democratic | Howard Hampton | 7 | 8 | Green | Frank de Jong | - | - |
Template:Canadian politics/party colours/Family Coalition/row | Family Coalition | Giuseppe Gori | - | - | Freedom | Paul McKeever | - | - | Communist | Elizabeth Rowley | - | - | Confederation of Regions | none | - | - | Independent/No affiliation | - | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Vacant | - | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 103 | 103 | 1071 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
- 1. Ontario's electoral ridings generally conform with the federal electoral districts, however changes could be made to keep seats in certain areas (e.g., in northern districts).
Expected ridings
There will be 107 ridings. In Northern Ontario, the ridings will stay the same as for the 2003 election. In Southern Ontario, the ridings boundaries will change from those uses in 2003.
- Ajax-Pickering
- Algoma—Manitoulin
- Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale
- Barrie
- Beaches-East York
- Bramalea-Gore-Malton
- Brampton West
- Brampton-Springdale
- Brant
- Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound
- Burlington
- Cambridge
- Carleton-Mississippi Mills
- Chatham-Kent-Essex
- Davenport
- Don Valley East
- Don Valley West
- Dufferin-Caledon
- Durham
- Eglinton-Lawrence
- Elgin-Middlesex-London
- Essex
- Etobicoke Centre
- Etobicoke North
- Etobicoke-Lakeshore
- Glengarry-Prescott-Russell
- Guelph
- Haldimand-Norfolk
- Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-Brock
- Halton
- Hamilton Centre
- Hamilton East-Stoney Creek
- Hamilton Mountain
- Huron-Bruce
- Kenora—Rainy River
- Kingston and the Islands
- Kitchener Centre
- Kitchener-Conestoga
- Kitchener-Waterloo
- Lambton-Kent-Middlesex
- Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and Addington
- Leeds-Grenville
- London North Centre
- London West
- London-Fanshawe
- Markham-Unionville
- Mississauga East-Cooksville
- Mississauga South
- Mississauga-Brampton South
- Mississauga-Erindale
- Mississauga-Streetsville
- Nepean-Carleton
- Newmarket-Aurora
- Nickel Belt
- Nipissing
- Parry Sound—Muskoka
- Sault Ste. Marie
- Sudbury
- Thunder Bay—Atikokan
- Thunder Bay—Superior North
- Timiskaming—Cochrane
- Timmins—James Bay
Timeline
- May 13, 2004 - Andrea Horwath of the NDP is elected in a by-election in Hamilton East and collects over 60% of the vote. The riding was previously held by the Liberals.
- May 18, 2004 - The 2004 Ontario budget is announced, and is very unpopular with the public, as it includes many broken promises including a tax increase and health care cuts.
- June 1, 2004 - Bill 87, which would establish fixed election dates, is introduced in the Legislative Assembly.
- August 9, 2004 - A poll by Environics shows the Liberals in second place for the first time since the last election. The NDP is also rising in support. According to the poll, the Progressive Conservatives lead with 37% followed by the Liberals with 35%, the NDP with 23% and the Greens with 4%. [1] (http://erg.environics.net/news/default.asp?aID=560)
- September 18, 2004 - John Tory becomes leader of the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party replacing outgoing former premier Ernie Eves and defeating Jim Flaherty and Frank Klees.
- January 31, 2005 - Eves resigns his seat in the provincial legislature, clearing the way for Tory to run in the resulting byelection.
- March 17, 2005 - John Tory is elected in the Dufferin-Peel-Wellington-Grey by-election, holding the seat for the Conservatives.
See also
- Politics of Ontario
- List of Ontario political parties
- Premier of Ontario
- Leader of the Opposition (Ontario)
External links
Numerous Canadian Polls (http://www.queensu.ca/cora/polls/)
Environics Polls (http://erg.environics.net/polls/)