Strategy of technology

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The strategy of technology was clearly enunciated in a book of the same name by Stefan Possony and Jerry Pournelle. The book was required reading in the U.S. service academies during the latter half of the Cold War. It is available on the net at Jerry Pournelle's site (http://www.jerrypournelle.com/slowchange/Strat.html), free, with a suggested contribution.

The basic doctrine is for a technically-advanced country to use its asymmetric advantage in technology to create and deploy weapons of sufficient power and numbers so as to overawe or beggar its opponents.

The classic example of the successful deployment of this strategy was the nuclear build-up between the U.S. and U.S.S.R. during the Cold War.

Some observers believe that the Vietnam War was a necessary attritive component to this war — Soviet industrial capacity was diverted to conventional arms in N. Vietnam, rather than development of new weapons and nuclear weapons — but evidence would need to be found that the then-current administration of the US saw it thus. Current consensus and evidence holds that it was but a failed defensive move in the Cold War, in the context of the Domino Doctrine.

The coup-de-grace is considered to have been Ronald Reagan's Strategic Defense Initiative, a clear attempt to obsolesce the Soviet nuclear arsenal, creating an immense expense for the Soviets to maintain parity.

Those who argue the strategy was not a great success in the Cold War maintain that the Soviet Union did little to try to keep up with the SDI system, and that the War in Afghanistan caused a far greater drain on Soviet resources. However, the Soviets spent a colossal amount of money on their Buran space shuttle in an attempt to compete with a perceived military threat from the American Space Shuttle program, which was to be used in the SDI.

There is a further consideration. It is not seriously in doubt that the despite the excellent education and training of Soviet technologists and scientists, it was the nations of Europe and North America, in particular the United States, which made most of the running in technical development.

The Soviet Union did have some extraordinary technical breakthroughs of their own. One thinks of the 15% efficiency advantage of Soviet rocket engines which used exhaust gases to power the fuel pumps, or of the "Squall" supersonic cavitation torpedo. It was also able to use both its superlative espionage arm and the inherent ability of central planning to concentrate resources to great effect.

But the United States found a way to use its opponent's strengths for its own purposes. It emerged in the late 1990's that many stolen technological secrets were funnelled by an arm of American intelligence to the Soviet Union. The documents were real. They were of versions of the product which contained a critical, but not obvious, flaw.

Such was the complexity and depth of the stolen secrets that to check them would have required an effort almost as great as developing a similar product ab initio. Such an effort was possible in nations of the West because the cost could be defrayed by commercial sales. In Soviet states this was not an option. This sort of technological jiu-jitsu may set the pattern of future engagements.

External Link

• The Strategy of Technology (http://www.jerrypournelle.com/slowchange/Strat.html) by Stefan T. Possony, Ph.D.; Jerry E. Pournelle, Ph.D. and Francis X. Kane, Ph.D. (Col., USAF Ret.)