Mierscheid Law
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The Mierscheid-Law is an empirical law, published July 14 1983 in the German Vorwärts magazine by Jakob Maria Mierscheid, predicts the vote of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) based on the size of crude steel production in western Germany.
- The Vote share of the SPD equals the Index of the crude steel production in the western federal states - measured in million tons - in the year of the federal election.
The last proof of the law was in the 2002 election, where the West German crude steel production was 38.6 million tons, and the vote share of the SPD 38.5 %.