Iranian presidential election, 2005
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Template:Politics of Iran The first round of Iranian presidential election of 2005 took place as a very close race on June 17, 2005, and its second round will take place as a run-off on June 24 with Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad participating. There were seven people running for the post out of more than a thousand initial candidates, most of whom were disqualified by the Guardian Council, which holds veto power over all political candidates in Iran.
Mohammad Khatami, the current President of Iran, will need to step down on August 2, 2005, after serving his maximal two consecutive four-year terms according to the Islamic Republic's constitution.
This is the first presidential runoff in the history of Iran. The run-off is compared to the 2002 French presidential election, where the splintering of the left-wing vote similarly led to a run-off between the moderate Jacques Chirac and the far-right Jean-Marie Le Pen. The comparison is made because of the unexpected votes of Ahmadinezhad, the very close race, and the comparability of the political standings of Rafsanjani and Ahmadinezhad to those of Chirac and Le Pen.
| Missing image Rafsanjani-time.jpg Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, former president | Missing image Ahmadinezhad.jpg Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad, mayor of Tehran |
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First round results
While pre-voting polls mostly favored a run-off between Rafsanjani and Mostafa Moeen, the actual vote counts from the Ministry of Interior unexpectedly put Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad and Mehdi Karroubi in second and third places. Rafsanjani and Ahmadinezhad led with respectively 21.0% and 19.5% of the votes, and were followed by Karroubi (17.3%), Ghalibaf (13.9%), Moeen (13.8%), Larijani (5.9%), and Mehralizadeh (4.4%) [1] (http://www.isna.ir/Main/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-543096). This was the result of 29,317,042 votes, which amounts to a turnout of 62.66%, as there were 46,786,418 eligible voters.
The tabulated results follow:
| Presidential Candidate | Popular Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Count | Percentage | |
| Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani | 6,159,453 | 21.01% |
| Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad | 5,710,354 | 19.48% |
| Mehdi Karroubi | 5,066,316 | 17.28% |
| Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf | 4,075,189 | 13.90% |
| Mostafa Moeen | 4,054,304 | 13.83% |
| Ali Larijani | 1,740,163 | 5.94% |
| Mohsen Mehralizadeh | 1,289,323 | 4.40% |
| Blank or invalid votes | 1,221,940 | 4.17% |
| Total | 29,317,042 | 100% |
Election controversies
After the first round of the election, some people, including Mehdi Karroubi, the pragmatic reformist candidate who ranked third in the first round but was the first when partial results were first published, have alleged that a network of mosques, the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps militiary forces, and Basij militia forces have been illegally used to generate and mobilize support for Ahmadinezhad. Karroubi has accused hardliners of rigging the election and has explicitly alleged Mojtaba Khamenei, a son of the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, among the conspirators. Ayatollah Khamenei then wrote to Karroubi and mentioned that these allegations are below his dignity and will result in a crisis in Iran, which he will not allow. As a reply, Karroubi resigned from all his political posts, including an Advisor to the supreme leader and a member of Expediency Discernment Council, on both of which he has been installed by Khamenei [2] (http://news.gooya.com/president84/archives/031422.php). The day after, on June 20, a few reformist morning newspapers, Eghbal, Hayat-e No, Aftab-e Yazd, and Etemad were stopped from distribution by the general prosecutor of Tehran, Saeed Mortazavi, for publishing Karroubi's letter.
Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, the leading candidate, has also pointed to organized and unjust interventions by "guiding" the votes, and has supported Karroubi's complaint [3] (http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/story/2005/06/050619_mf_hashemi_statement.shtml).
Also, some political groups, including the reformist party Islamic Iran Participation Front, have alleged that Ahmadinezhad had only ranked second because of the illegal support and advertising activities for him during the voting by the supervisors selected by the Guardian Council, while the supervisors should have remained impartisan according to the election law [4] (http://news.gooya.com/president84/archives/031420.php). Also, the reformist newspaper Shargh has pointed to an announcement by Movahhedi Kermani, the official representative of the supreme leader in Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps, mentioning "vote for a person who keeps to the minimum in his advertisements and doesn't lavish", which uniquely pointed to Ahmadinezhad. [5] (http://sharghnewspaper.com/840330/html/online.htm#s245649)
Many of the controversies include the Guardian Council in the illegal activities, including it publishing an oppinion poll before the election putting Ahmadinezhad as the front-runner against all other opinion polls, and it announcing the partial results of the election on the day after the election, putting Ahmadinezhad on the second rank while he was still in the third rank in the partial statistics published by the Ministry of Interior, which led to President Khatami going to the Ministry several times and explicitly asking the Council to not announce any more partial results.
Turnout and boycotts
The Islamic Republic government of Iran, specially the Supreme Leader and the higher offices, publicly considers the turnout of the voters, which was about 63% in the first round, to resemble the support of the population for the regime, while some voters consider voting for the candidates less aligned with the supreme leader as a vote against the current practices of the regime.
Also, some voters, including exiled citizens belonging to opposition political groups or monarchists (both living outside Iran), some parts of the intellectual community living in Iran, and even a few reformists, had boycotted the election as a symbol of not supporting the current regime and its practices. The boycotters' reasons included the massive rejection of registered candidates, that they believed that the role of the Iranian president is insignificant in the power structure and overshadowed by those of the supreme leader who is practically elected for life, and that they believed that all the candidates had already helped the regime in the oppression of its political opposition or would do so if elected. The most famous boycott leader was Akbar Ganji, imprisoned in Evin prison for his journalism and in a hunger strike.
While some members of the intellectual community in Iran supported the boycott, some key figures, residing inside Iran or exiled to Europe or North America, had asked their readers and the general population to vote in the election, reasoning that not voting in the election would result in the election of one of the three conservative candidates, who were all military people with a background in Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps. The most famous supporters of voting in the intellectual community included Ebrahim Nabavi, Masoud Behnoud, and Khashayar Deyhimi. These people were mostly supporting Moeen as their preferred candidate who is considered to be the least aligned with Ayatollah Khamenei, but a few have also talked or written in support of Rafsanjani or Karroubi.
After the results of the first round, many of the supporters of the boycott are now supporting Hashemi Rafsanjani, and many of the supporters of the reformist candidates, including many supporters of Moeen, are doing the same. Islamic Iran Participation Front (IIPF) and Mojahedin of the Islamic Revolution Organization (MIRO), as the two main parties who supported Moeen, are included, with IIPF asking for "uniting against the rise of religious fascism" and MIRO telling about the rival "Führer-istic mindset" [6] (http://news.gooya.com/president84/archives/031410.php). Moeen himself has mentioned that he will not personaly vote in the second round, but that his supporters "should take the danger of fascism seriously" and should not think about a boycott in the second reound.
Also, Emadeddin Baghi, the President of the Iranian Association for Supporting Prisoners' Rights and one of the boycotters, has also spoken in support of Rafsanjani and mentioned that while he still considers Rafsanjani a conservative, he prefers his traditional conservatism to Ahmadinezhad's fundamentalism.
Conspiracy theory
According to two articles by Aleksei Komenski, Hashemi Rafsanjani has the covert backing of the US and a secret agreement was achieved on his candidacy. In an article dated Friday, December 17, 2004,[7] (http://music.future.ee/04/rafsanjani-destined-to-become-president.htm) Komenski alleged that "Rafsanjani will win the presidential election as an "independent" (with the covert backing of the US) hostile to the rapid pace of social reform that Khatami had been pushing for, but a leading force behind economic liberalisation." In a follow-up on Tuesday, March 15, 2005,[8] (http://music.future.ee/05/another-axis-of-evil-rafsanjani-and-the-us.htm) he argued that Rafsanjani is waiting with the announcement of his candidacy "until the eleventh hour to appear in front of the Iranian electorate as a saviour or even a saint who will lead the country out of a deadlock situation." Rafsanjani confirmed he is running for the election on Tuesday, May 10, 2005.
Schedule
The schedule of the election had been decided between the Ministry of Interior and the Guardian Council for June 17, 2004. The election will continue as a runoff race, which will take place a week later than the first round of elections, on June 24, 2005. The registration of candidates began on May 10, 2005 and continued for five days, until May 14. If the Guardian Council had requested, it may have been extended for five more days, until May 19. The candidates were not allowed to do advertisements, until the final list of approved candidates are known. The official period for advertisement was May 27 to June 15.
In the first round, Iranian nationals born on or before June 17, 1990, residing in or outside Iran, were able to vote. The election in Iran began on 09:00 local time (04:30 UTC) and while the original deadline was ten hours later on 19:00 (14:30 UTC), the deadline was extended three times by the Ministry of Interior, finally until 23:00 (18:30 UTC). Outside Iran, different times are used as the opening and closing hours for the polling offices. On the same date, mid-term Majlis elections for Gachsaran, Garmsar, Ghazvin, Ilam, Iranshahr, Jolfa, Marand, Sarbaz, and Shiraz took place together with the runoff elections of Tehran for the Iranian Majlis election of 2004.
The first three suggestions by the Ministry, for May 13, May 20, and June 10, 2005, had been rejected by the Council. The Ministry had mentioned that it is concerned that an election later than May 20 may collide with the final exams of the elementary schools and high schools.
The second round of the election will happen on June 24, and Iranian nationals born on or before June 24, 1990 will be able to vote. The election in Iran will begin on 09:00 local time (04:30 UTC) and the closing time of the voting polls will be at 19:00 (14:30 UTC), but may be extended by the Ministry of Interior.
Candidates
The registration of the candidates finished on May 14, 2005 and 1014 candidates had registered to run, including many people who didn't have the qualifications required in the law. More than 90% of the candidates were men, and there were about ninety female candidates. The law about the election process does not include any requirements for people who want to register to run: it only provides qualifications that are to be checked by the Guardian Council.
The candidates must have first be approved by the Guardian Council before being put to public vote and it could be predicted that some of the candidates would not win the approval, especially Ebrahim Asgharzadeh and Ebrahim Yazdi, who were rejected by the Council in the parliamentary elections of 2004 and/or the presidential elections of 2001. There were also some people who expected Mostafa Moeen, the most controversial reformist candidate, to be disqualified as well. But the most unpredictable was the disqualification of conservative Reza Zavare'i, a former member of the Guardian Council and an approved presidential candidate for two previous elections.
Also, there was a high probability of rejection of women, because of an ambiguous term ("rejāl", رجال) in the Constitution of Iran, a requirement for presidential candidates, which may be interpreted as either "men" or "famous people". The Guardian Council, who is also the official interpreter of the constitution, has mentioned on previous elections that the restriction has not been considered in depth yet, since according to the Council's opinion there were no women registered to run for presidency who fulfilled the other requirements of the constitution; but still, the Council believes that the requirement of rejaal would not match women.
There had also been discussions for a new law proposed in the Majlis, restricting the maximum age of the candidates for the presidential elections. This was widely seen as an attempt to limit the participation of Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Mehdi Karroubi. The attempt failed with no proposal appearing.
Approved candidates
The list of all the people who have officially registered to run for the post is not available to the public, but the Guardian Council published a final list of six approved candidates on May 22, rejecting all independent candidates and some candidates from the both wings, specially the reformist candidates Mostafa Moeen and Mohsen Mehralizadeh. This raised lots of objections among the general public and the political parties, including student protests in the Tehran University, among other universities. This, and the objections of some of the approved candidates, led to a letter from Ayatollah Khamenei, the Supreme Leader, to the Guardian Council asking for the approval of Moeen and Mehralizadeh (this had apparently been because of a request by Haddad-Adel, the conservative Speaker of the Parliament) [9] (http://isna.ir/Main/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-531549). It is unknown if that letter meant that the Guardian Council must have approved these two, or it should have only reconsidered their case. The next day, on May 23, the Guardian Council announced the approval of Moeen and Mehralizadeh.
Mohsen Rezaee, one of the approved conservative candidates, who is the Secretary of Expediency Discernment Council and a previous commander of the Iran-Iraq war, withdrew in the evening of June 15.
These are the candidates approved by the Council of Guardians:
Trans-party
- Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, Chairman of the Expediency Discernment Council and a former President of Iran, who has won the support of several parties from both of the wings (and may still win more support), but is considered to be leaned towards the conservatives more than towards the reformists. Ironically, the reformist alliance considered him as a possible candidate of theirs more than the conservative alliance. He was invited to run for president by Executives of Construction Party (reformist), Militant Clergy Association (conservative), Islamic Labour Party (conservative), and Workers' House (reformist), as well as several other parties across the whole spectrum of positions. Rafsanjani confirmed he is running for the election on May 10, after lots of speculations [10] (http://www.isna.ir/Main/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-525450).
Reformists
- Mehdi Karroubi, former Majlis Speaker, Secretary General of Militant Clerics Society (MCS), supported by MCS, Islamic Association of Engineers, Majma'-e Gorooh-haa-ye Khat-te Emam, and Democracy Party of Iran.
- Mohsen Mehralizadeh, Vice-President and Head of National Sports Organization, member of IIPF. Mehralizadeh has first announced that he will be running for the post on behalf of the Iranian younger generation, but not if the reformist alliance reaches consensus on another candidate, but during the registration mentioned that he will remain in the race until the end.
- Mostafa Moeen, former Minister of Science, Research and Technology, supported by Islamic Iran Participation Front (IIPF) and Mojahedin of the Islamic Revolution Organization (MIRO). Confirmed to run on December 29, 2004. IIPF, an influential reformist party in Iran, has mentioned that they won't support any presidential candidate outside the party, except Mousavi and Moeen. Since Mousavi has declined to run, they supported Moeen, whom they claimed to be the most probable candidate to win the approval of other parties in the reformist alliance. Some conservative Majlis representatives had asked for the Guardian Council's rejection of Moeen, which happened finally but was reversed after a letter by Ayatollah Khamenei. Moeen had announced that he would choose Mohammad Reza Khatami as his First Vice President if he was elected, and had already chosen Elaheh Koulaee, a female representative of the sixth Islamic Assembly, as his spokeswoman.
Conservatives
- Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad, Mayor of Tehran, member of Islamic Society of Engineers (ISE), supported by some parts of Alliance of Builders of Islamic Iran (ABII). Although Ahmadinezhad said he would not seek nomination on February 2, 2005, he returned to the scene later.
- Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, former Commander of Police (niroo-ye entezaami). Contrary to the public announcement of Ayatollah Khamenei, the Supreme Leader of Iran, that nobody knows who he will personally vote for, Ghalibaf had claimed privately that he is the person Khamenei will vote for.
- Ali Larijani, Supreme Leader's representative in National Security Council and a former director of IRIB, who was supposed to be the major conservative candidate, as chosen by the "Council for Coordinating the Revolution Forces" (showrā-ye hamāhangi-e nirūhā-ye enǧelāb), a council of some older and very influential leaders of the conservative alliance.
Rejected candidates
- Reformists:
- Akbar A'lami, Majlis representative of Tabriz.
- Ebrahim Asgharzadeh, former member of Tehran city council, Secretary General of Islamic Iran Solidarity Party (Hezb-e Hambastegi-e Irān-e Eslāmi), and one of the hostage-takers in Iran hostage crisis. It should be noted that Asgharzadeh was even not supported by his own party (Islamic Iran Solidarity Party). Asgharzadeh was rejected by the Guardian Council to run as a candidate in the 2001 presidential elections, which had made him unlikely to be approved this time.
- Mostafa Kavakebian, secretary-general of Democracy Party (hezb-e mardomsālāri). Kavakebian supported Karroubi after he himself was rejected.
- Conservatives:
- Zabihollah Bakhshi, commonly known as Haji Bakhshi, militia leader
- Rafat Bayat, Majlis representative from Zanjan, a member of conservative caucus in parliament. On March 30, she stated that she would run independently, not supported by any significant party in the conservative alliance [11] (http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/story/2005/03/050329_mf_bayat.shtml). It was assumed by some people that she would probably get rejected by the Guardian Council, because of the rejāl requirement (see above).
- Reza Zavare'i, former member of Guardian Council, invited to run by Chekaad-e Daaneshjooyaan-e Mosalmaan
- Independents:
- Nasser Hejazi, former goalkeeper of the national football team and former coach of the Esteghlal football club. After his rejection, Hejazi is supporting Hashemi Rafsanjani as president.
- Mohammad Hossein Pahlevan, known as Arshia, pop singer
- Azam Taleghani, daughter of Ayatollah Mahmoud Taleghani.
- Ebrahim Yazdi, former Minister of Foreign affairs in the Interim Government of 1979, secretary general of Freedom Movement Party. After being rejected by the Guardian Council, Yazdi is supporting Moeen for the presidency.
- Unknown affiliation:
- Ayatollah Mohammad Sajjadi ([12] (http://sharghnewspaper.com/840227/html/vs2.htm#s227919))
Declinations and withdrawals
The most important withdrawal was that of Mohsen Rezaee, one of the candidates who was approved by the Guardian Council and participated in the race until the the evening of June 15, 2005, two days before the election and only a few hours before the final deadline allowed for advertisements. Rezaee mentioned he is withdrawing from the race for "the integraton of the votes of the nation" and "their effectiveness". He did not endorse any candidate. [13] (http://isna.ir/Main/NewsView.aspx?ID=News-541885)
Also, several people were considered possible candidates for the post, who later declined to run early in the race or at the final moments before registration. A list of the ones considered seriously in the media includes:
- Reformists:
- Safdar Hosseini, Minister of Economy and Finance Affair, member of IIPF
- Hadi Khamenei, member of Society of Forces Following the Line of the Imam, declined on December 6, 2004
- Mohammad Reza Khatami, former Majlis Vice Speaker, Secretary General of IIPF
- Hassan Khomeini, grandson of Ruhollah Khomeini
- Mir-Hossein Mousavi, former Prime Minister, declined on October 12, 2004
- Mohammad Mousavi-Khoiniha, member of MCS, declined on November 21, 2004
- Behzad Nabavi, former Majlis Vice Speaker, member of MIRO
- Abdollah Ramezanzadeh, Spokesman of Government, member of IIPF
- Conservatives:
- Gholam Ali Haddad-Adel, Speaker of Majlis, he declined his activities for election and said that he will try to re-ally conservatives for election.
- Abdollah Jasbi, President of Isalmic Azad University. Jasbi withdrew in favour of Hashemi Rafsanjani.
- Mohammad Javad Larijani, Director of IPM. He strongly endorses his brother Ali Larijani for presidency.
- Hossein Mirmohammad-Sadeghi, former speaker of Judiciary Branch
- Ahmad Tavakkoli, Majlis representative and Director of Majlis Research Center and former presidential candidate. Tavakkoli resigned from the race on May 1, 2005, telling that he is doing this to help minimize the diversity in the conservative camp. He is supporting Ghalibaf in the elections.
- Ali Akbar Velayati, an Adviser to the Supreme Leader for foreign affairs, and a former Minister of Foreign Affairs. Velayati was supported inside the conservative alliance by Islamic Coalition Party (ICP). Valayati had confirmed that he does not accept the support of the Council for Coordination and will run independently, unless Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who was the President of Iran during Velayati's ministership, runs. On May 14, Velayati did not register to run until the official deadline, and then announced that he is supporting Rafsanjani in the elections.
- Independents:
- Shirin Ebadi, winner of Nobel Peace Prize in 2003, declined on January 2, 2005, despite support among some independent groups and parties, which are usually called pro-Human rights
See also
External links
- Guide to Iran's presidential polls (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4086944.stm), from BBC News
- Angus Reid Consultants - Election Tracker (http://www.angus-reid.com/tracker/index.cfm?fuseaction=viewItem&itemID=5070)
- The text of the Iranian law for presidental elections (http://www.moi.gov.ir/.%5Cghavanin%5Crules_jomhori.htm) (in Persian)
- Shargh's Guide to Elections (http://sharghnewspaper.com/entekhab9/html/v1.htm) (in Persian)
- ISNA report on Mousavi's declination, reported by Karroubi (http://www.isna.ir/news/NewsCont.asp?Lang=P&id=442761) (in Persian)
- Situation on December 6 (http://www.sharghnewspaper.com/830916/html/index.htm) (in Persian)
Sources
- Iran newspaper on the elections atmosphere after Mousavi'e declination (in Persian) (http://www.iran-newspaper.com/1383/830723/html/politic.htm#s386433)
- The Guardian Council didn't accept the date suggested by the Ministry of Interior (http://akhbar.gooya.com/politics/archives/018957.php), ISNA's report on the details of the date
- various news articles by Shargh newspaper and BBC Persian (http://bbcpersian.com/)